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In 1976, my research on rice farming in the U.S. began at the Subcommittee on Oil Seeds and Rice began in a hearing room of the House of Representatives. In the wake of the Russian wheat deal of 1972, bad weather, and a host of bizarre catastrophes, such as a decline of the anchovy catch--critical in the production of fertilizers--near the coast of Peru, the U.S. and indeed the developed world experienced food shortages. Ever since the end of World War II, surplus was the biggest problem farmers faced. As it turned out, the global shortfall was about three percent. However, fear of the consequences led editorial writers to compare current conditions to the gloomy predictions of Malthus and The New York Times Magazine mused that it might be necessary to prioritize food distribution to the developing world--much as administrators in busy emergency rooms engage in triage--recognizing that large numbers of people might be allowed to die to protect the rest. In 1973, the Secretary of Agriculture embargoed soybean exports to Japan stating, "There might not be enough food left for the American people."
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